Different levels of knowledge and awareness

When you talk about predicting outcomes and different levels of knowledge there is a funny experiment you could perform. In a group, ask everybody to pick a number between 1-100 (zero is not possible to pick) and determine that the winner will be the one who has guessed a number that is two thirds of the average number picked.

When you finish the game the one who has guessed a number that is smaller than the winning number is probably the one on the highest level of knowledge or at least he/she thinks so. Why? Because that someone has guessed not only what people would pick, but also what the person who guesses what people will pick has guessed, and consequently picked a number that is lower than that persons. You´ll figure it out when you do it and I really dont want anyone picking a number that is larger than 66 because that player clearly hasn´t catched up on the rules of the game.

enjoy! =)